Forecast Discussion



08/17/2019
Forecast valid from 17/08/2019 to 18/08/2019

Departamento Meteorologico Aruba http://www.meteo.aw

...TROPICAL WAVES EAST OF 70W...

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 26W/27W, from 17N
southward, moving W 15 to 20 knots. Rainshowers are possible
from 10N to 20N between Africa and 35W.

A tropical wave is moving across the eastern islands of the
Caribbean Sea, along 61W, from 17N southward, moving W 15
to 20 knots. Widely scattered moderate to isolated strong
rainshowers are from 10N to 15N between 54W and 61W.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Scattered moderate to isolated strong rainshowers are in the SW
corner of the Caribbean Sea, from 10N to 13N between 78W and 82W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong rainshowers from 10N
northward between 87W and 93W, and in the coastal plains of
southern Mexico within a 30 nm radius of 16N96W. Isolated to
widely scattered moderate and locally strong rainshowers cover
the rest of the area, including in the Caribbean Sea from 08N
in Colombia northward from 70W westward.

The monsoon trough is along 11N/12N from 71W in NW coastal Venezuela
beyond SW Costa Rica. A 1012 mb low pressure center is along the
monsoon trough near 81W.

An 83W tropical wave will move across the rest of the western
Caribbean Sea through this evening. The passage of this wave,
along with high pressure to the north of the area, will continue
to support fresh to near gale-force trade winds in the SW
Caribbean Sea tonight, and in the NW Caribbean Sea on Saturday
and Sunday. Fresh to strong winds will resume in the south central
Caribbean Sea on Sunday evening, being supported by the passage of
a new tropical wave that currently is across the Lesser Antilles.

Next update will be issued 18/08/2019