Forecast Discussion

10/19/2021
Departamento Meteorologico Aruba http://www.meteo.aw

Discussion valid 19/10/2021

.....TROPICAL WAVES EAST OF 70 WEST.....

A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its
axis along 31W from 02N to 16N, moving westward
at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is within 120 nm east of
the wave axis from 05N to 07N.

A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis
along 50W from 02N to to 17N, moving westward
at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
within 120 nm east of the axis from 08N to 10N.

Another central Atlantic tropical has its axis
from 20N60W to 14N61W and south to inland Guyana.
It is moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is occurring within 120 nm
east of the wave axis from 12N to 20N.

...CARIBBEAN SEA & LOCAL REGION...

A buiding pressure gradient in the Caribbean will
support moderate to fresh winds in the local region
with possibly strong winds in gusts. High pressure
will continue to build further until Saturday.
Limited moisture will restrict most of the
significant cloud development in the local
region and as a result, generally dry weather
will prevail.

Marine conditions: Calm seas are in place on the
protected sites with tranquil to moderate seas
on the south sites. Slight to moderate conditions
continue in place over the east to northwest coastal
regions with seas in the range of 2 to 3, locally
4 feet.

Next update will be issued 20/10/2021