Forecast Discussion



06/25/2017
Forecast valid from 25/06/2017 to 26/06/2017

Departamento Meteorologico Aruba http://www.meteo.aw

Numerous heavy showers and tstms are over Caribbean waters
between Colombia and Panama associated with the EPAC monsoon
trough, which extends across Panama and connect with a 1008 mb
low over Colombia. A tropical wave moves across the central basin,
thus supporting fresh to near gale force winds from 11N to 13N
between 74W and 76W and fresh to strong between 68W and 77W.
These winds are forecast to prevail through tonight.

A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis extending
from 18N57W to inland Guyana near 06N59W, moving W at 15-20 kt
within the last 24 hours. The wave is in a region of favorable to
neutral wind shear S of 11N and is in a very moist environment
with some patches of dry air according to CIRA LPW. Convection has
increased within the last 6 hours to scattered heavy showers and
isolated tstms from 11N-18N between 56W and 63W.

Next update will be issued 26/06/2017 16:00UTC