Forecast Discussion



05/29/2017
Forecast valid from 29/05/2017 to 30/05/2017

Departamento Meteorologico Aruba http://www.meteo.aw

The monsoon trough extends over Costa Rica and Panama producing
scattered moderate to isolated strong convection over the SW
Caribbean S of 12N. Further N, scattered showers are inland over,
Guatemala, and the Yucatan Peninsula. In the upper levels, a ridge
is over the W Caribbean. An upper level trough is over the E
Caribbean with strong subsidence. Expect over the next 24
hours for the tropical wave to move W with showers. Also
expect more convection over the SW Caribbean, and Central
America.

A tropical wave is over the east Caribbean with axis extending
from 21N66W to 09N67W, moving W at 15 kt. Saharan dry air is
present in the wave's environment inhibiting convection.
There is a very pronounced 700 mb wave reflection.

Next update will be issued 30/05/2017 16:00UTC