Forecast Discussion



10/24/2019
Discussion valid from 23/10/2019 to 24/10/2019

Departamento Meteorologico Aruba http://www.meteo.aw

...TROPICAL WAVES EAST OF 70 W...
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 35W from 01N-14N, moving
W at 10-15 knots. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is from 04N-11N between 31W-39W.

An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 50W/51W from 03N-18N,
moving W at 10-15 knots. Scattered moderate convection is from
08N-12N between 44W-49W.

A Caribbean tropical wave is along 61W from 06N-20N, moving W at
10-15 knots. Scattered showers are within 120 nm of the wave axis.

...CARIBBEAN SEA...
10-15 kt tradewinds are over the Caribbean Sea with strongest
winds over the Gulf of Honduras. Isolated moderate convection is
over Hispaniola and Puerto Rico from 15N-20N between 65W-75W. This
convection is mostly due to an upper level low that is centered
over Hispaniola near 18N70W. Elsewhere, isolated moderate
convection is over the SW Caribbean S of 12N.

Moderate trade winds are expected across most of the Caribbean through
Sunday night. Winds will briefly strengthen in the vicinity a pair of
tropical waves passing across the basin through the end of the week.

Next update will be issued 24/10/2019